spateGAN: spatio‐temporal downscaling of rainfall fields using a cGAN approach

  • Climate models face limitations in their ability to accurately represent highly variable atmospheric phenomena. To resolve fine-scale physical processes, allowing for local impact assessments, downscaling techniques are essential. We propose spateGAN, a novel approach for spatio-temporal downscaling of precipitation data using conditional generative adversarial networks. Our method is based on a video super-resolution approach and trained on 10 years of country-wide radar observations for Germany. It simultaneously increases the spatial and temporal resolution of coarsened precipitation observations from 32 to 2 km and from 1 hr to 10 min. Our experiments indicate that the ensembles of generated temporally consistent rainfall fields are in high agreement with the observational data. Spatial structures with plausible advection were accurately generated. Compared to trilinear interpolation and a classical convolutional neural network, the generative model reconstructs theClimate models face limitations in their ability to accurately represent highly variable atmospheric phenomena. To resolve fine-scale physical processes, allowing for local impact assessments, downscaling techniques are essential. We propose spateGAN, a novel approach for spatio-temporal downscaling of precipitation data using conditional generative adversarial networks. Our method is based on a video super-resolution approach and trained on 10 years of country-wide radar observations for Germany. It simultaneously increases the spatial and temporal resolution of coarsened precipitation observations from 32 to 2 km and from 1 hr to 10 min. Our experiments indicate that the ensembles of generated temporally consistent rainfall fields are in high agreement with the observational data. Spatial structures with plausible advection were accurately generated. Compared to trilinear interpolation and a classical convolutional neural network, the generative model reconstructs the resolution-dependent extreme value distribution with high skill. It showed a high fractions skill score of 0.6 (spatio-temporal scale: 32 km and 1 hr) for rainfall intensities over 15 mm h−1 and a low relative bias of 3.35%. A power spectrum analysis confirmed that the probabilistic downscaling ability of our model further increased its skill. We observed that neural network predictions may be interspersed by recurrent structures not related to rainfall climatology, which should be a known issue for future studies. We were able to mitigate them by using an appropriate model architecture and model selection process. Our findings suggest that spateGAN offers the potential to complement and further advance the development of climate model downscaling techniques, due to its performance and computational efficiency.show moreshow less

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Metadaten
Author:Luca Glawion, Julius Polz, Harald KunstmannORCiDGND, Benjamin Fersch, Christian ChwalaORCiDGND
URN:urn:nbn:de:bvb:384-opus4-1096389
Frontdoor URLhttps://opus.bibliothek.uni-augsburg.de/opus4/109638
ISSN:2333-5084OPAC
Parent Title (English):Earth and Space Science
Publisher:American Geophysical Union (AGU)
Type:Article
Language:English
Date of first Publication:2023/10/16
Publishing Institution:Universität Augsburg
Release Date:2023/12/01
Tag:General Earth and Planetary Sciences; Environmental Science (miscellaneous)
Volume:10
Issue:10
First Page:e2023EA002906
DOI:https://doi.org/10.1029/2023ea002906
Institutes:Fakultät für Angewandte Informatik
Fakultät für Angewandte Informatik / Institut für Geographie
Fakultät für Angewandte Informatik / Institut für Geographie / Lehrstuhl für Regionales Klima und Hydrologie
Dewey Decimal Classification:9 Geschichte und Geografie / 91 Geografie, Reisen / 910 Geografie, Reisen
Licence (German):CC-BY 4.0: Creative Commons: Namensnennung (mit Print on Demand)