Mini-review: From measurement to prediction — a conceptual paradigm shift in assessing overcrowding in pediatric emergency departments since 2021

  • Overcrowding in pediatric emergency departments (PEDs) is an increasing global challenge. While adult emergency medicine has developed several validated measures to assess overcrowding, pediatric-specific methods remain scarce. In recent years, new approaches have emerged, including the first predictive models capable of anticipating crowding before it occurs. This Mini-Review provides a narrative synthesis of recent conceptual and methodological developments in the measurement and prediction of overcrowding in PEDs, building on the literature published since 2021. It conceptually examines unidimensional metrics, multidimensional scores, and emerging predictive models, emphasizing the shift from retrospective assessment to temporally oriented approaches and the need for pediatric-specific validation and multicenter evaluation.

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Metadaten
Author:Johanna T. Meßner, Melanie L. ConradORCiD, Dennis FreuerORCiDGND, Christine MeisingerORCiDGND, Fabian B. FahlbuschORCiDGND, Florian WeberORCiD
URN:urn:nbn:de:bvb:384-opus4-1277473
Frontdoor URLhttps://opus.bibliothek.uni-augsburg.de/opus4/127747
ISSN:2296-2360OPAC
Parent Title (English):Frontiers in Pediatrics
Publisher:Frontiers Media SA
Place of publication:Lausanne
Type:Article
Language:English
Year of first Publication:2026
Publishing Institution:Universität Augsburg
Release Date:2026/02/09
Volume:13
First Page:1746637
DOI:https://doi.org/10.3389/fped.2025.1746637
Institutes:Medizinische Fakultät
Medizinische Fakultät / Universitätsklinikum
Medizinische Fakultät / Lehrstuhl für Kinder- und Jugendmedizin
Medizinische Fakultät / Lehrstuhl für Epidemiologie
Medizinische Fakultät / Professur für Neonatologie und Pädiatrische Intensivmedizin
Dewey Decimal Classification:6 Technik, Medizin, angewandte Wissenschaften / 61 Medizin und Gesundheit / 610 Medizin und Gesundheit
Licence (German):CC-BY 4.0: Creative Commons: Namensnennung