A high-resolution regional climate model physics ensemble for Northern sub-Saharan Africa

  • While climate information from General Circulation Models (GCMs) are usually too coarse for climate impact modelers or decision makers from various disciplines (e.g., hydrology, agriculture), Regional Climate Models (RCMs) provide feasible solutions for downscaling GCM output to finer spatiotemporal scales. However, it is well known that the model performance depends largely on the choice of the physical parameterization schemes, but optimal configurations may vary e.g., from region to region. Besides land-surface processes, the most crucial processes to be parameterized in RCMs include radiation (RA), cumulus convection (CU), cloud microphysics (MP), and planetary boundary layer (PBL), partly with complex interactions. Before conducting long-term climate simulations, it is therefore indispensable to identify a suitable combination of physics parameterization schemes for these processes. Using the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) reanalysis product ERA-InterimWhile climate information from General Circulation Models (GCMs) are usually too coarse for climate impact modelers or decision makers from various disciplines (e.g., hydrology, agriculture), Regional Climate Models (RCMs) provide feasible solutions for downscaling GCM output to finer spatiotemporal scales. However, it is well known that the model performance depends largely on the choice of the physical parameterization schemes, but optimal configurations may vary e.g., from region to region. Besides land-surface processes, the most crucial processes to be parameterized in RCMs include radiation (RA), cumulus convection (CU), cloud microphysics (MP), and planetary boundary layer (PBL), partly with complex interactions. Before conducting long-term climate simulations, it is therefore indispensable to identify a suitable combination of physics parameterization schemes for these processes. Using the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) reanalysis product ERA-Interim as lateral boundary conditions, we derived an ensemble of 16 physics parameterization runs for a larger domain in Northern sub-Saharan Africa (NSSA), northwards of the equator, using two different CU-, MP-, PBL-, and RA schemes, respectively, using the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model for the period 2006–2010 in a horizontal resolution of approximately 9 km. Based on different evaluation strategies including traditional (Taylor diagram, probability densities) and more innovative validation metrics (ensemble structure-amplitude-location (eSAL) analysis, Copula functions) and by means of different observation data for precipitation (P) and temperature (T), the impact of different physics combinations on the representation skill of P and T has been analyzed and discussed in the context of subsequent impact modeling. With the specific experimental setup, we found that the selection of the CU scheme has resulted in the highest impact with respect to the representation of P and T, followed by the RA parameterization scheme. Both, PBL and MP schemes showed much less impact. We conclude that a multi-facet evaluation can finally lead to better choices about good physics scheme combinations.show moreshow less

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Metadaten
Author:Patrick LauxORCiDGND, Diarra Dieng, Tanja C. Portele, Jianhui Wei, Shasha Shang, Zhenyu ZhangORCiD, Joel Arnault, Christof Lorenz, Harald KunstmannORCiDGND
URN:urn:nbn:de:bvb:384-opus4-899897
Frontdoor URLhttps://opus.bibliothek.uni-augsburg.de/opus4/89989
ISSN:2296-6463OPAC
Parent Title (English):Frontiers in Earth Science
Publisher:Frontiers Media S.A.
Type:Article
Language:English
Date of first Publication:2021/09/28
Publishing Institution:Universität Augsburg
Release Date:2021/10/19
Tag:physics parametrization schemes; Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF model); ensemble structure-amplitude-location (eSAL); empirical copula; multi-facet evaluation
Volume:9
First Page:700249
DOI:https://doi.org/10.3389/feart.2021.700249
Institutes:Fakultät für Angewandte Informatik
Fakultät für Angewandte Informatik / Institut für Geographie
Fakultät für Angewandte Informatik / Institut für Geographie / Lehrstuhl für Regionales Klima und Hydrologie
Licence (German):CC-BY 4.0: Creative Commons: Namensnennung (mit Print on Demand)